Chief Justice Roberts famously alleged, with a straight face, in response to President Trump referring to Obama judges, that who appoints a judge has no impact on how they vote. As he goes the Souter route to the Left, I guess he is trying to prove that, by attempting to throw the election to the Democrats and getting rid of a President he obviously hates.
Of course this was only a denial of a stay. It does not mean that the issue could not be litigated after the election if those ballots become crucial This would be after Judge Barret becomes Justice Barrett and is on the Court. The case law indicates that election laws cannot be rewritten by courts close to an election, which is what the Pennsylvania Supreme Court did. Stay tuned and be very pleased that Barrett will be joining the Court at this juncture.
They’d better hurry up and confirm her. As I recall, you can’t overturn a lower court on a 4-4 decision. And there’s a lot of Hawaiian judges out there.
I have the Seventh Sense. I see truck loads of mail in votes with no postmark.
China Joe Will Never Be President. Resist.
The Pennsylvania election policies go beyond even Minnesota’s lax penalties in that they allow votes that arrive late to be counted even if they are not postmarked. Makes it way to easy to commit fraud after the fact, so Pennsylvania may very well end up being stolen (though hopefully that can be overturned).
Nevertheless, I think that President Trump can win even without Pennsylvania. I firmly believe that Arizona, Wisconsin, Michigan and Ohio will all go his way (as well as Texas and Georgia, as if that were ever in doubt for anyone outside the media). I think that Minnesota and Florida are also likely to go his way, in that I think that he has a voter fraud resistant lead in Minnesota. But even if he only gets one of the two he can still win (however if he gets Minnesota but not Florida we might get to a 269 to 269 count).
The problem with delaying the resolution of a problem is that the problem often grows and becomes more complex.
So rather then establishing clear rules before, or early in the election process, If Judge Roberts has left this decision until after the election, this will just add to the post election confusion, anger and distrust of our election processes.
Worst political class in history.
Playing around with things if the president can carry Wisconsin, Arizona and Michigan, and I don’t have any doubts that he can, then Biden needs to win both Florida and Pennsylvania. If the president can carry Minnesota too, then Biden needs both Florida, Pennsylvania and to pick up some additional small state (like flipping Iowa or something). If the president instead takes Florida instead of Minnesota, Biden is sunk even with Pennsylvania.
I don’t see this as a friendly map for Biden at all. The only way that you get him to a “safe” election is if you assume that a lot of states that previously voted for Trump are definitely going to flip, despite similar polling to the last election (and often better for President Trump in those specific states) with other indicators (such as voter registration) being favorable to the president.
Still vote and do what you can to convince others. But don’t buy into this fake narrative that Biden is the “favored” candidate or that a win by President Trump would be an “upset.”
The Republicans have registered about 325K more voters than the Dems in Florida since 2016. Early voting and vote by mail point to a bigger loss by the Dems in Florida than in 2016. Pennsylvania is a must win for Biden while for Trump it is icing on the cake, assuming he can take an electoral vote from Maine and flip any of Minnesota, Wisconsin and Michigan. Nevada is looking iffy for the Dems base on early voting and vote by mail. Watch panic begin to set in among the Dems as they realize they have been living in a fool’s paradise. I sometimes think a media biased in their favor hurts them more than the GOP as it gives the Dems an inaccurate view of the actual facts of political races.
Art Deco – Best political class by an order of magnitude.
Art Deco – Best political class by an order of magnitude.
No clue to whom you’re referring
I guess I never understood the psychology of lopsided polls. Seems if in your favor, it would give your voters a sense of comfort and disincentive to vote, and give your opponents all the more reason to get out to the polls.
I agree c matt. In the case of Trump I think a fair amount of this is just the sheer hatred for the man on the Left. They simply cannot fathom that at least half the country supports him. In politics emotion is often an expensive luxury.
I think that they actually believe that Trump voters will be so disappointed about his “poor” showing that they won’t even bother to vote. Because they literally cannot understand our mindset. They get their worldview from popular and mass culture, so if they were told on every major outlet that Biden had no chance, they would believe it was impossible. They can’t understand that we don’t think that way, even after it was demonstrated to them in 2016.
If Trump doesn’t win Florida he is not winning. I’d say he can’t win without Pennsylvania, in that it is hard for me to see him winning MI, WI and Minn without winning Penn. Assuming the election is fair then Pennsylvania is the pivotal state along with Arizona and Maine 2nd. However, if there is fraud specifically in Pennsylvania, then Trump might lose Pennsylvania but win the other Midwest states.
Biden’s game is that he needs to maintain all of Hillary’s picks, and flip both Florida and Pennsylvania. The only other scenarios for his victory are fanciful (such as Texas flipping).
Certainly losing Florida would make things more difficult for Trump, but there are paths to victory for victory in that scenario,even without Pennsylvania (for example: taking what he did in 2016 (minus PA and FL) and then flipping Minnesota and Nevada).
Biden has one very specific path to victory. Trump has room to maneuver.
Biden’s game is to hold what he did before and win Pennsylvania and Michigan and either Wisconsin or Arizona. Or PA, MI and NE2 and ME2 for a 270-268 win. Florida is not the key to a Biden win, it is a less desirable back-up plan or a running up the score state.
Minnesota might be the wild card. I hope Trump has a few more rallies there. Sure, the Twin Cities votes will be hard to surmount, but he came close to doing it last time. I can’t imagine many voters outside the cities looking on the chaos there with anything but disgust. those Dem Iron Range mayors who came out in support of Trump might have an effect greater than the populations in their own towns. Again, it’s a matter of being able to tap even further into the white blue collar and rural vote, especially the ones who have not voted up until now because they didn’t think it made a difference.
I assume that if Biden doesn’t win them square, the electoral votes of Penna, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Arizona will be stolen through massive fraud.
Trump will not allow that and the Supreme Court will back him up.
The smart money says Kagan, Sotomayor, Breyer, and Roberts will allow it. The others better have security up the wazoo for themselves and their 1st and 2d degree relatives.
I’m gonna be repetitive on this point. We know many partisan Democrats who – very inappropriately – clutter up Fakebook with their asinine memes and little turds of resentment. Not one of them ever admitted Christine Blasey was incredible, and that’s an easy call. Ballots could be cast by Donald J. Duck and they’d contrive to ignore it.
And what comes next? Robert Reich (Bill Clinton’s Secretary of Labor, now 73 years old) wants a Central American style ‘truth commission’ to assess the last four years. You know, one of those things they set up when a country with 7 million people living in it has 150,000 deaths from counter-partisan warfare.
The smart money says Kagan, Sotomayor, Breyer, and Roberts will allow it.
Not Roberts. He will join the majority so he can assign who writes the decision.