Polls Coming Up Trump

 

The polls in 2016 and 2020 greatly underestimated Trump’s actual voting strength on election day.  The Democrats are now desperate with the polls turning against them, not only the public polls, but the private internal polls of each campaign.  If they have anything up their sleeve, they will be unleashing it soon.  I hope Trump has lots of private security on the clock.

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David WS
David WS
Saturday, October 12, AD 2024 9:11am

NO men are voting for Harris, at all, at all, at all… and it’s not because she’s a woman.
“No one’s ever seen anything like it.”

If only men voted, we’d have a secure country and world… there’s a thought.

Elaine Krewer
Admin
Saturday, October 12, AD 2024 10:13am

“If only men voted, we’d have a secure country and world… there’s a thought”

I see this notion with increasing frequency– that women should not vote because they are just inherently not capable of making the hard choices necessary for the good of the country — and I alternate between anger at having my right to vote taken away because of women like Kamala and her ilk, and thinking that maybe they are right and even women like myself who have always tried to be rational and moral are just fooling themselves and are ultimately no better than them in the end.

David WS
David WS
Saturday, October 12, AD 2024 10:49am

True. That is the difference and it’s affected us all. Jesus Is the answer.

Tom Byrne
Tom Byrne
Saturday, October 12, AD 2024 12:48pm

Donald and Elaine:
Bryce Christensen in “Utopia Against the Family” (about 1993) drew exactly your conclusions, citing polling from the 1992 elections that married women voted on balance like their husbands, while the votes of single women were overwhelmingly for Bill Clinton. He referred sarcastically to “The polygamous state collecting the votes of all its “wives”‘.

David WS
David WS
Saturday, October 12, AD 2024 2:23pm

I’m going to walk back my second statement a bit, because of this verse:
Ephesians 5:22 states, “Wives, be subject to your husbands as you are to the Lord”. 

The passage continues, “For the husband is the head of the wife, just as Christ is the head of the church, the body of which he is the Savior”.

We have fallen very far. Patriarchy was never a bad thing, and Christianity had(?)/has(?) a Patriarchal structure(?). We cry “Where are the Fathers!” But do not look inwardly.

There is nothing to fear here, Ephesians continues with “Husbands love your wives, even as Christ also loved the church, and gave himself for it.”

Married or not, we’d be better off in many ways.. if only men voted.

Rudolph Harrier
Rudolph Harrier
Saturday, October 12, AD 2024 4:19pm

On the matter of the suffrage question, it is interesting to go back and read the historical arguments for and against women’s suffrage. Those against generally said that it would lead to negative effects in society, while those for said that these negative effects would not happen. For example, one claim was that if women could vote, this would lead to an expansion of the welfare state. Another claim was that if women could vote, this would lead to a political atmosphere more ruled by emotion than logical argument. Bertrand Russel in particular was adamant that nothing of the sort would happen.

But of course, most of the fears of the anti-suffragists did come to pass. When most moderns say that the anti-suffragists were wrong, they do not mean that their predictions were wrong, but that they were wrong to think that these things were bad.

Elaine Krewer
Admin
Saturday, October 12, AD 2024 7:35pm

One of the main arguments FOR women’s suffrage in the late 19th and early 20th centuries was that women would act as moral guardians of society and of the family. Women were heavily involved in the temperance/Prohibition movement, and the 18th Amendment (Prohibition) preceded the 19th (female suffrage). The notion that women would vote for easy divorce, free sex and unlimited abortion would have been anathema to the suffragists of the time.

CAG
CAG
Saturday, October 12, AD 2024 8:09pm

Incrementalism:

 The notion that women would vote for easy divorce, free sex and unlimited abortion would have been anathema to the suffragists of the time.



Art Deco
Art Deco
Sunday, October 13, AD 2024 7:11am

With the loss of random-digit dialing as a sampling frame, just do not trust polling. It’s all massaged convenience samples. To top it off, we have widespread fraud.
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No clue what’s coming down the pike. We haven’t had a conscientious political class since 1960, though there have been sets of people within it who have been. Even with that, though, state governments routinely accomplish things the federal government cannot, such as balancing their books.
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The conduct of the Democratic Party and associated sectors over the last five years should have provoked mass revulsion in the public at large. It did not, and that’s the most distressing thing.

Penguins Fan
Penguins Fan
Sunday, October 13, AD 2024 8:46am

The Democrat Party HAS to be desperate. I gather that from the ads I have seen.

They have dragged out of the compost heap “pay their fair share” and lambasting Trump and Musk as billionaires while (of course) ignoring billiobaires such as Bill Gates and Tom Steyer.

Then there is an ad featuring a black man lebeling Trump as a racist.

Then there is the ad claiming Trump saying he did not want to visit a veterans cemetery because the deceased were losers.

Here in PA, Dave McCormick is running neck and neck with the moribund Bob Casey for the Senate.

I read that Tester is behind in Montana. West Virginia is a mortal lock to flip its Senate seat. Baldwin is believed to be tied or behind in Wisconsin.
I don’t know about Nevada or Ohio.

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