Few things are more futile than attempting to guess the next Pope. Over the past six decades only two popes, Paul VI and Benedict XVI, were not a surprise. However, for those wishing to play, a new website gives information on those cardinals considered by some to be leading candidates. Go here to view it. The only fairly safe rule in papal elections is that the Cardinals often choose someone who is the opposite of the current Pope in some way. Of course what the Cardinals hope to get, and what they get, are almost always two very different things.
PopeWatch: Guess the Next Pope
- Donald R. McClarey
Donald R. McClarey
Cradle Catholic. Active in the pro-life movement since 1973. Father of three, one in Heaven, and happily married for 43 years. Small town lawyer and amateur historian. Former president of the board of directors of the local crisis pregnancy center for a decade.

Cardinal Pacelli was pretty much a shoo in going into the 1939 Conclave as well.
Being Secretary of State used to be regarded as a stepping stone to being Pope. Pacelli was regarded as being the intellectual power of the Pius XI pontificate.
My favorite question in my circles is always “when are we going to have a non-white Pope?” It’s a uniquely American-filtered question.
The irony is, the people asking that question are almost always liberal and would absolutely be horrified if, say, an African Cardinal were elected to the Chair of Peter. There would not be enough popcorn available to watch their reactions to his first encyclical or even his first Angelus.
I personally only played the Papabile game in 2005, because that was the first time I had ever observed the process (being born early in JPII’s pontificate). By 2013, I knew better than to waste my time speculating.
One question;
How big is the bench that holds lifelong members of the lavender Mafia?
My hope is that attrition is taking care of the problem but who knows how well the recruitment campaign was carried out and too what extent?
An African Pope?
Fine. Make sure he has help with brooms, mops and buckets. It’s gonna take some work to restore the Home but it’s been done before.
Christ is King.
Money changers beware. A day where your tables are turned over will come. Whips too.
I have thought at times, perhaps it would be a boon to have a pope who was a near contemplative.
What wonders might come from a pontiff who spent most of his time talking to God, instead of to reporters, celebrities, bishops or even us.
Medieval men and women did quite well without a constant stream of messages from the pope.
Perhaps it would be a great boon to have a pastoral pope. One who spent significant time with the bishops of the world, not just of the curia. A shepherd who shepherds the shepherds. “No, I’m afraid I really have no time to meet Whoopi Goldberg. I’m reading up on the auxiliary bishop of Minneapolis for our lunch date.”
Not likely. But a king in a stable in occupied territory is my God, so I’m somewhat inclined toward the unlikely.
One of the outcomes of the present pontificate is a division of the faithful by expectation. Many will hope for a restoration of the Popes John Paul II and Benedict XVI approach and another group will decide that PF has pretty much demonstrated that the Church will survive, as it always has, despite the man who sits in the chair of Peter. I fear we will be in for disappoint in any event.
I’d be pleased if we had a Pope who limited his travel to the province of Rome, issued a sufficient number of documents to clean up the mess left by his predecessor (including restoration of the Latin Mass), issued a small number of documents to address truly novel issues, and otherwise limited his remarks to reflections on the day’s readings delivered during Mass. I’d also be pleased if he devoted meticulous attention to every episcopal vacancy, liquidated the Holy See’s stake in limited corporations, liquidated secular real estate outside the province of Rome (and inside the province, bar residences for priests and religious and the Holy See’s lay staff), deeded over to the local ordinary sacred architecture outside the province of Rome, distributed the Holy See’s abstract assets to accounts in an array of hard currency countries, and appointed boards of lay professionals to supervise those accounts and also to produce a general ledger according to proper principles of accounting. Supposedly, Piux Xii spent three hours a day in prayer. As a traditionalist priest of my acquaintance once said, devotion, not commotion.
Cardinal Burke as Leo XIV
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“As a traditionalist priest of my acquaintance once said, devotion, not commotion.”
I like this.
Cardinal Sarah all the way. Let the liberal heads spin when we get a conservative black Pope. They will spend the entire papacy scratching their heads how it is possible to be both….Although Eijk appears surprisingly good on paper, I do think that the way the world is today a black Pope will have more impact and reach.
“Being Secretary of State used to be regarded as a stepping stone to being Pope. Pacelli was regarded as being the intellectual power of the Pius XI pontificate.“
Certainly, Pius XI leaned heavily on Pacelli, particularly with the rise of Nazism. Who was the last pope prior to Pacelli rose to the Petrine office from Cardinal Secretary of State?
Mariano Rampolla del Tindar was Secretary of State under Pope Leo XIII. He likely would have been Pope but for his candidacy being vetoed by the Austrian Emperor during the Conclave of 1903, the last time such a veto was exercised. Since that time the Secretaries of State have been considered to be potential popes, but only Pacelli has gotten the triple crown.
It is said the cardinals chose a new pope that is the opposite of the previous pope. Does Cardinal Burke have a chance?
I was hoping for Card Burke last time. I’d also love to see Card Sarah. …*sigh*
That means our next pope will almost certainly be someone like Card Cupich….
If I had to pick the next pope (according to my own uneducated preferences), I would want Bishop Robert Barron. He is pastoral (like St. John Paul), well-educated, and a very clear and faithful teacher (like Pope Benedict). He is not afraid to challenge those who attack the Church, and he does so with charity. He is young and healthy enough to lead the Church with vigor. I realize chances are slim to none for an American who is not a Cardinal – especially a bishop who leads a rather minor diocese in Minnesota, but I personally think Bishop Barron would make an excellent pope.
Current top 10 in age order:
Ambongo 65 Capuchin then Kinshasa Congo (PF 2019)
Sturla 65 Salesian then Montevideo Uruguay (PF 2015)
Da Rocha 65 Sao Salvador da Bahia Brazil (PF 2016)
Tagle 67 Manila Philippines then Dicastery for Evangelisation (B16 2012)
Zuppi 69 Bologna Italy and Saint Egidio Community (PF 2019)
Parolin 70 Italy Secretary of State (PF 2014)
Erdo 72 Budapest Hungary (JP2 2003)
Lopez 72 Spanish Salesian then Rabat Morocco (PF 2019)
Aguiar 75 Mexico City (PF 2016)
Scherer 75 Sao Paulo Brazil (B16 2007)