Red Wave Rising
- Donald R. McClarey
Donald R. McClarey
Cradle Catholic. Active in the pro-life movement since 1973. Father of three, one in Heaven, and happily married for 43 years. Small town lawyer and amateur historian. Former president of the board of directors of the local crisis pregnancy center for a decade.
Interesting to hear both Baris (on yesterday’s Inside the Numbers) and Cahaly (on a podcast last week with Daniel Horowitz) talking about “submerged voters” that both are assuming they haven’t been able to reach. It’ll be interesting to see if that can be in any way quantified after all is said and done.
Steve Deace is getting even more aggressive with his final projections, projecting 56 in the Senate, 255 House and 36 Gov. I think Colorado will be at least one spoiler of that, but on his show yesterday he gave decent reasons (the forthcoming “Red Wedding”) to be aggressive.
I always appreciate TAC’s Richard Baris’ detailed analysis, and that he gives many in-depth facts to back up his reasoning, something rare for the general class of pollsters. He is unabashedly a “lean – conservative” viewpoint, but his facts are hard to argue with.
I think the most interesting thing he mentions is that Blake Masters, running for Senate in Arizona v. Mark Kelly, is being deliberately understated by the polls especially Fox news polling— And that none of the pollsters want to be the first to come out and admit that Masters is solidly ahead. But it’s impossible not to think that now, he says, because now the polls (having done everything possible to destroy the Lioness) have conceded that Kari Lake is clearly up by double-digits. It’s going to be really hard for the Democrats to steal the votes in Maricopa County this election (my opinion: I lived there, and I saw, in my opinion, the MC registrar deliberately failed to clean up voter rolls for many years. Just for example, a family member who moved out of Arizona in 2011 received a mail-in ballot for the 2020 election—- even though she was already registered in California. She notified the registrar of her re-registration in CA. Guess what. She checked later and found out someone had voted in place of her, even though she held the mail-in ballot in her hands. Massive voter fraud. Guess which party. Guess who was Sec of State. ) like they did in 2020 with the mysterious late mail-in ballot dumps and nearly two+ weeks to “count” the votes.
Another very interesting observation Baris makes is that one of the drags on Herschel Walker’s vots are GA establishment Republicans that simply refuse to vote for a candidate they didn’t choose. We’ve seen it before many times. We have to vote for their George Bushes, Kelly Loeffler’s, and John McCain‘s, but they will not vote for our Donald Trump‘s or our Herschel Walker’s.
Lastly, his observations on Clark County Nevada, which has been a solid bastion of what he calls the Harry Reid machine, he stated is finally breaking down, and it looks like Lombardo is going to be elected governor and Laxalt to the Senate. Interesting.
One nice latent bonus if the Red Wedding occurs is that it will demonstrate that the legacy media’s ability to set and control the narrative is becoming more and more limited and may simply just collapse entirely. They’ve been trying their hardest to make this election about abortion and Jan 6, and there’s only a vanishing base of the population who are either buying it or are simply going to cult harder. That many candidates who were severely outspent are likely to win despite a major spending and media deficit hopefully speaks to a new reality.
Although, to be fair, it might due in part to the conditions of the country being so bad that they can’t spin it enough to overcome the reality that everyone feels on a day-to-day basis. If things were better the populace might very plausibly revert to sheep mode. I just wonder if bridges have been crossed.
The amount of retconning happening over the past few weeks has been spectacular. It was laugh out loud funny a couple weeks ago when the interviewer was practically begging Stacey Abrams to talk about inflation and even softballed it up for her as obviously as he could, but she just couldn’t help herself and had to go the equivalent of the full Hale-Bopp on abortion.
Just a shout from the end-zone seats, but the whole “election deniers” chant seems a little too steady to just be the last drum they have to beat. I’m smelling a set-up and while I don’t read a whole lot about that, I hope it’s just so we don’t spoil the ambush.
This new DNC ad should have us all worried
https://twitter.com/steveskojec/status/1588213057053810688?s=61&t=NQMLJ5WN20EF3y6xuBfkhg
Making republicans can be this easy.
https://twitter.com/jonschweppe/status/1588152800676126728?s=61&t=d0wM57UnIGrNFCDbBPNugQ
There’s been two types of dem political ads here:
1.) Outright lies. (For example, Keith Ellison has ads which say he is tough on crime and has made Minnesota safer in his tenure.)
2.) Abortion must be protected at all costs.
I don’t know if they think enough of the public is for baby killing that they can win on that issue, or if their allegiance to Moloch prevents them from downplaying their lust for baby killing, but abortion is the only issue where they are actually honest about their intentions.