The election is pivoting on the Upper Midwest and Pennsylvania. Assuming he holds on to everything else he won on election night in 2016 Trump just needs to win one state in the group of Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Biden, under the same circumstances, has to sweep the field. Potential wild cards for Trump are Nevada, New Hampshire and Virginia. Potential wild card for Biden is Arizona where a pro-pot measure is attracting young voters.
Thought for the Day
- Donald R. McClarey
Donald R. McClarey
Cradle Catholic. Active in the pro-life movement since 1973. Father of three, one in Heaven, and happily married for 43 years. Small town lawyer and amateur historian. Former president of the board of directors of the local crisis pregnancy center for a decade.
I am a Pennsylvanian and hate to admit that my state is likely to be the cause of much misery but such is the case now that our state Supreme Court has decided to permit voting through the Friday after the election.
Technically, the Democrat-controlled and hyper-partisan court says that votes have to be in on election day, before the polls close but they placed the burden on the State to demonstrate that particular, individual ballots were posted too late.
During a CLE on the matter I asked whether ballots placed in a post box but not picked up until the next day would count. The panelists agreed that they would have to count, even if they were post-marked the following day. I asked then how we would prevent someone who was not going to voite from hurriedly voting the next morning because they did not like the results. They conceded that nothing would prevent this and then blathered on about disenfranchisement and such.
I never got to ask my third question which was what safeguards exist to prevent stuffing the ballot box the next day based upon the results. I think we can gues the answer.
I think this will be an election that is so fraudulent as to make Hugo Chavez wonder from hell at his sophomoric corruption by comparison. We can thank our profession; we can thank lawyers; that bastard race of meddlesome know-it-alls for this mess.
Thank you for introducing me to Barnes and Baris, who seem sensible and certainly provide interesting information. We’ll find out if their analysis is correct soon enough.
Baris and Barnes think there will certainly be fraud in PA, specifically in Philly, but if there is a very large Trump turnout elsewhere in the state, it may not matter. They believe that while fraud can certainly swing an election, it can’t swing it over 1 percent, but otherwise, the cheating is far too obvious and the cheaters will get caught. If Trump is ahead in the rest of PA by more than 1 percent, he’ll still win. But Philly is going to be a mess. Thank you, John Roberts!