Election Day and Night Live Blog
So the day has arrived at last. Our political adversaries are not orcs, but I must say I have been waiting for this day through four long years, and I am as eager to vote against Obama and his party as the Rohirrim were eager to smash the army of Sauron at Minas Tirith. This is our live blog for this election day and night. All contributors to TAC are welcome to post on it. Passions no doubt will be running rather high today, and I will be attempting to keep these words of Abraham Lincoln in mind:
I thank you, in common with all others, who have thought fit, by their votes, to indorse the Republican cause. I rejoice with you in the success which has, so far, attended that cause. Yet in all our rejoicing let us neither express, nor cherish, any harsh feeling towards any citizen who, by his vote, has differed with us. Let us at all times remember that all American citizens are brothers of a common country, and should dwell together in the bonds of fraternal feeling.
1. 5:30 AM CST-Rasmussen and Gallup both have the race 49 Romney-48 Obama. Rasmussen has party id R 5.8 which is unprecedented. Republicans normally win with a D-2 advantage. If the Republicans have an R 5.8 advantage a Romney landslide is in the offing. Such an advantage would explain why prognosticators are indicating in House races the Republicans are likely to add to their majority. We will find out soon enough.
2. 5:30 AM CST-Yesterday in a conference call Stephanie Cutler, Obama’s deputy campaign manager warned that supporters should not panic if the exit polls initially go against them because so many of their voters have voted early. I found this intriguing since exit polls usually favor Democrats.
4. 5:50 AM CST As we vote today let’s keep in mind who, after God, we have to thank for the right to vote:
5. 6:05 AM CST TAC’s David Hartline has a post on National Review Online about what to look for in Ohio voting tonight. Go here to read it.
6. 7:06 AM CST-I just voted in my town. Dwight is a Republican stronghold and I would describe the voting I observed as very brisk, heavier at this time than I recall in 2008.
7. 7:30 AM CST-
I am shocked, shocked to hear that Democrats are illegally tossing court appointed Republican poll watchers out of Philadelphia wards so that they can go about stuffing the ballot box for Obama in peace! Go here to read all about it.
8. 1:00 PM CST-Republicans have won early voting in Colorado. The Democrats took it by a 2% lead in 2008. That bodes very well for Romney taking what could be a very crucial state tonight.
9. 4:25 PM CST-Dan Rather, yes that Dan Rather, predicts a Romney victory:
“RATHER: You can lay out a plan that Romney wins this election. And I’ll be honest with you, as I always try to be. Something in my gut tells me that it’s going to be a good day for Romney. But as a reporter, you don’t report your gut. The polls all indicate, yes, Obama, he has several paths to victory, Romney has only one. But I’m reminded of that old saying, “Don’t taunt the alligator until after you cross the creek.”
10. 5:06 PM CST-Fox talking about exit polls, and emphasizing how close they are. Considering how exit polls tend to lean toward Democrats, that could be good news for Romney. The Economy is the top issue and by 5 points the respondents give Romney the advantage on that issue.
11. 6:00 PM CST-Kentucky and Indiana called for Romney. Vermont called for Obama.
12. 6:30 PM CST-West Virginia called for Romney.
13. 6:40 PM CST-South Carolina called for Romney.
14. 6:52 PM CST-Georgia called for Romney.
15. 7:05 PM CST-Lots of calls. For Obama: Illinois, DC, Connecticut, Rhode Island, New Jersey, Massachusetts and 3 of Maine’s 4 electoral votes. For Romney: Alabama , Mississippi, Oklahoma and Tennessee.
16. 7:30 PM CST-Arkansas called for Romney.
17. 8:00 PM CST-More calls: Michigan is called for Obama and that forecloses one of Romney’s paths to victory. For Romney: Texas, Louisiana, North Dakota, South Dakota, Kansas and Nebraska.
18. 8:15 PM CST-Pennsylvania is called for Obama and that forecloses another path to victory for Romney.
19. 8:21 PM CST-Fox is projecting that the Republicans will retain control of the House, which is welcome although no surprise.
20. 8:26 PM CST-A real heartbreaker: Wisconsin is called for Obama.
21. 8:35 PM CST-Donnelly is projected to beat Mourdock in the Indiana Senate race. This night is not looking pretty in either the Presidential race or the Senate.
22. 8:45 PM CST-Tammy Baldwin defeats Tommy Thompson, former governor of Wisconsin, and the Senate will have its first openly Lesbian member.
23. 9:08 PM CST-Minnesota called for Obama. It all comes down to Ohio now, assuming that Romney can scrape a victories in Virginia and Florida.
24. 9:10 PM CST-Todd Akin loses his bid for the Senate in Missouri.
23. 8:50 PM CST-CBS calls New Hampshire for Obama.
24. 8:55 PM CST-Warren defeats Brown for the Massachusetts Senate seat.
25. 9:00 PM CST-While taking a beating in the Senate and with the Presidential race not looking good, the GOP may actually add tonight to its huge House margin. What an odd election.
26. 9:00 PM CST-Romney takes Utah, of course, and Montana.
27. 9:20 PM CST-Obama takes New Mexico and the remaining electoral vote of Maine.
28. 9:45 PM CST-Romney’s final path to victory is to take Ohio, Virginia, Colorado and Florida. The first three actually don’t look too bad, but Florida looks shaky. Cue the flashbacks to 2000!
29. 9:45 PM CST-Romney takes Arizona.
30. 10:07 PM CST-Missouri falls to Romney.
31. 10:10 PM CST-Deb Fisher defeats John Kerry to take the Nebraska Senate seat.
32. 10:12 PM CST-It looks like Colorado is going to fall to Obama.
33. 10:15 PM CST-Ohio goes to Obama and he has won re-election.
A stunning and depressing election. The country has re-elected the worst president in our nation’s history and I fear the consequences to the nation will be grave. In a democracy a majority of the people ultimately get what they want, and a majority of the people want, incredibly to me, more of what the country has suffered through in the last four years. Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan ran an able race and gave the country a chance to turn away from the path the voters chose in 2008. That chance has been thrown away and now we will all have to pay the consequences. More analysis tomorrow and in the days to come. For now I am turning in and hoping that my dreams are much sweeter than the present grim reality.