The Last Refuge of Scoundrels
With an economy that stinks, and after two years of a Congress ramming unpopular policies down the throats of an unwilling public, Democrats around the nation are in electoral trouble. What can possibly save them? They know! Roll out the abortion ads!
Republicans have won points with many voters by promising a conservative overhaul of taxes and spending, but Democrats are working hard in the closing weeks of the campaign to convince voters that a conservative social agenda is waiting in the wings, too, should Republicans be elected in large numbers.
Abortion rights is the flash point, being wielded by the left in hard-fought races from New York’s contest for governor, to Senate races in Florida and California, as Democratic candidates or groups try to rally their base and attract moderate Republican or independent women — a slice of the electorate that is even more coveted than in years past.
Brilliant! Simply Brilliant! However, there are two small flaws in the path-to-political-success-over-the-bodies-of-dead-babies-strategy.
First, “it’s the economy, stupid” this year, to quote the serpentine James Carville. This is the worst economy I can recall and I am 53 years old. People are voting their pocketbooks this year with a vengeance, and everything else simply isn’t registering with most voters. The party in power gets the credit or the blame for the economy, and the Democrats this time around are reaping a huge amount of blame from the voters.
Second, the country is changing on abortion in a pro-life direction. Poll after poll this year has demonstrated that fact. As Gallup observed in a major poll on abortion earlier this year:
While the two-percentage-point gap in current abortion views is not significant, it represents the third consecutive time Gallup has found more Americans taking the pro-life than pro-choice position on this measure since May 2009, suggesting a real change in public opinion. By contrast, in nearly all readings on this question since 1995, and each survey from 2003 to 2008, more Americans called themselves pro-choice than pro-life.
It is rightly said that generals who fight current wars with the weapons and tactics of the last, usually lose. The same is true for politicians. The pro-abort video at the top of this post is for Democrat Virgil Bernero who is running for governor of Michigan. He is currently running around 19 points behind his Republican opponent Rick Snyder.