Wednesday, May 15, AD 2024 7:56pm

CNN Poll

 

Don’t get cocky, but in 2020 Trump led Biden in approximately three polls.  Thus far for this year Trump leads in 52 polls, while Biden leads in 20 polls.    Another factor to recall is that the polls in 2020, when averaged at the end of the campaign, showed Biden 7.2 ahead of Trump.  The actual result was Biden ahead by 4.5, the polls underestimating Trump’s strength.  In 2016 Trump led in 17 polls and Clinton in 83 polls.

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Frank
Frank
Monday, April 29, AD 2024 6:37am

I note, for what it’s worth, that this poll samples “registered voters” rather than the usually more accurate “likely voters.” It will be interesting to see how that changes things down the road. It also will be interesting to see how DJT’s inevitable conviction in DA Bragg’s kangaroo court case will change the poll numbers in the key states.

Lead Kindly Light
Lead Kindly Light
Monday, April 29, AD 2024 7:06am

All of this is irrelevant unless only citizens vote. Feel confident about that?

Lucius Quinctius Cincinnatus
Monday, April 29, AD 2024 7:20am

The Democrats will cheat again.

Donald Link
Monday, April 29, AD 2024 9:41am

Side note: Bill Clinton knew how to tack with the political winds. He was reelected. Biden is controlled by the hard left who worship at the alter of ideological purity. As long as that continues, Trump should win even over the democrat renewed efforts at cheating.

Rudolph Harrier
Rudolph Harrier
Monday, April 29, AD 2024 11:38am

The secret is to beat them by too large of margin for fraud to matter and then immediately use your newfound legal powers to put into place measures to stop future fraud while simultaneously punishing those who have committed fraud.

Republicans have had a poor track record with the second part of that equation. DeSantis did a good job in Florida, but most Republicans are content to say “we beat them this time even with fraud, so we’ll beat them next time too.” The only thing that that does is encourage the dems to commit even more fraud, thus making the margin of fraud bigger, and so making a Republican loss inevitable regardless of how popular candidates are.

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