The featured image is from an article on the Politico web site about House results.  Notice the major changes, with one exception, are all toward Red, even if they don’t give a majority for the Republican candidate.  This isn’t statistics (and recall, “There are lies, damn lies and statistics”) but strictly common sense.  There are also accounts of ballots with only presidential votes marked (sorry, I can’t recall the source).
Can this be evidence of fraud in the Presidential elections? A comparison of votes for representative with those for president might be convincing but I wonder if they would have any legal bearing. There’s more. At least 10 “bellwether” counties, counties that have in the past reliably predicted presidential election results, have voted for the putative loser, Trump (see here). One or two changed—maybe—but 10? The evidence is there. I can’t quantify it statistically, but it should be enough to convince an unbiased jury.
What to do? My course is to pray for an overturn of the MSM certification and to accept God’s will, that is to say, his willingness to let men, at least for a little while, do evil. His grand design will come to pass.
58 bellwether counties. 51 went overwhelmingly for Trump. The other seven went for Biden by percentages under 4%. See this article in Epoch Times:
https://www.theepochtimes.com/bellwether-counties-went-overwhelmingly-for-trump-in-20120_3579578.html?utm_source=news&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=breaking-2020-11-15-5
This is not remotely sufficient to change the results of the election. Trump ran behind Republicans in congress because there is a sizable portion of the country that did not like him personally. The Politico list there is also not representative of all districts as there were areas where Trump ran ahead of the congressional candidates.
Also I don’t find the bellweather counties to be that convincing of fraud either. Places are bellweathers until they’re not. A lot of these counties went stronger for Trump than you would have expected given his narrow win four years ago. Many of these places are counties with small cities with a fairly large white working-class population. That is the core Trump voter, many of whom were either reliable Democrats or non-voters. We are in the process of a realignment in politics, so many of the past conventional wisdoms will not continue to hold.
I’m not completely dismissing fraud but the evidence needs to be a lot stronger than has been shown so far.
Strange indeed. Will the Republicans fight it? Or will they accept it and watch the same thing unfold when they lose control the senate in the upcoming runoff races??
Thanks for your comment, MichaelD. I agree, by itself the bellwether vote is not sufficient evidence for fraud. However, in combination with other evidence (data dumps, etc.) it’s one more piece that enables a reasonable person to form a conclusion. Moreover, one could make the bellwether evidence more quantitative as follows: go back 60 years and find the average proportion of elections that each county voted bellwether. Do a chisquare analysis on whether the proportions in 2020 deviated signifantly. If not, then people in these counties have generally voted for the winner. Do a similar analysis comparing difference of proportions for party representative and president. This will tell you whether people have voted against Trump and for a Republican representative. Your comment that voting alliances have shifted is corect but does not address the question of fraud.