1

247-188

Martha McSally

With the victory of pro-life Colonel Martha McSally (USAF Ret.),( she took Gabbie Gifford’s old Congressional district, so a Second Amendment champion now holds the former seat of the poster child for gun control), the Republicans have 247 seats in the House.  The last time the Republicans had more seats in the House, the year was 1929.  Obama has strengthened the Republican Party more than any President since Calvin Coolidge.

17

Louisiana No Sale: New Senate 54 Republicans to 46 Democrats

 

 

Remember the ‘Louisiana Purchase’?

 

On the eve of Saturday’s showdown in the Senate over health-care reform, Democratic leaders still hadn’t secured the support of Sen. Mary Landrieu (D-La.), one of the 60 votes needed to keep the legislation alive. The wavering lawmaker was offered a sweetener: at least $100 million in extra federal money for her home state.

And so it came to pass that Landrieu walked onto the Senate floor midafternoon Saturday to announce her aye vote — and to trumpet the financial “fix” she had arranged for Louisiana. “I am not going to be defensive,” she declared. “And it’s not a $100 million fix. It’s a $300 million fix.”

8

The Anti-FDR

The Anti-FDR

 

Overshadowed by Republican victories in Congress, Republican control of state legislatures is the real story out of last Tuesday’s elections:

 

The Republican wave that hit the U.S. Congress in Tuesday’s midterm election also boosted the party in state races, where it gained control of 10 chambers and could be on track to holding the largest number of legislative seats since before the Great Depression.

Democrats lost their majorities in the West Virginia House, Nevada Assembly and Senate, New Hampshire House, Minnesota House, New York Senate, Maine Senate, Colorado Senate, Washington Senate, and New Mexico House to Republicans, who also won enough seats to tie control of the West Virginia Senate, the National Conference of State Legislatures (NCSL) reported on Wednesday.

“Everyone knew it was a Republican year, but they really blew away expectations at the state legislative level,” said Tim Storey, the bipartisan group’s election analyst.

With Tuesday’s vote, Republicans took over the U.S. Senate, beefed up their majority in the U.S. House and won the governor’s office in several key states. The vote also increased the number of state legislative chambers with Republican majorities to 67 from 57. Party control of the Colorado House and Washington House was still up in the air.

The number of states with Republicans in control of both legislative chambers came to 27 ahead of the election and has now edged closer to the high mark of 30 in 1920, according to Storey. By contrast, Democrats will control the lowest number of state legislatures since 1860, he said. Continue Reading

11

Schadenfreude

 

 

Language advisory to the above video. Schadenfreude is a dish best sampled none too heartily in politics since the wheel always comes round the other way, but I can’t resist a few bites.

1.  Sandra Fluke down in flamesSandra Fluke, whose sole qualification for public office was being called a slut by Rush Limbaugh, has had a very long 15 minutes of fame, but they may be over.  With 100 percent of the votes counted, she was decisively defeated by fellow Democrat Ben Allen, a veteran local school official, running for a seat left vacant by the retirement of incumbent State Senator Ted Lieu.    Reportedly Ms. Fluke flushed a million bucks of her rich in-law’s money down the toilet on this losing effort.

2.  Charlie Crist-A former Republican governor of Florida who abandoned all his prior political stances to run as a born again liberal Democrat, was beaten by Rick Scott, the rather unpopular Republican governor of the Sunshine State.  The Richard Riches of this world do not always prosper.  I give the majority of the Florida voters credit for having a sound sense of smell in regard to Crist, who gives slime a bad name.

3.  Scott Walker-re-election:

For the denizens of the left wing of the Democrat Party, Scott Walker was enemy number one due to his having found a formula to break the power of the public employee unions, the mainstay of their party.  Congrats to the usually hysterical Ed Schultz for giving a sober analysis for what his victory may mean.

4.  Debbie Does Delusions-On the other hand another Schultz, Congresswoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz, is so ordinarily delusional that she makes Nancy Pelosi look like the voice of sanity in comparison:

Americans go to the polls Tuesday dissatisfied with the economy and President Obama’s job performance, but Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz remains confident for Democrats.

The Florida Democrat and chair of the Democratic National Committee predicts Democrats will hold the Senate and the election will yield more Democratic governors.

 

Continue Reading

20

Election Recap: Red Storm Rising

election-results-2014office=house

 

In a massive repudiation of the Obama administration, the country turned to the Republicans last night.  Thus far the Republicans have gained eight seats in the Senate.  Louisiana’s Senate contest will be determined in a run off election in December where the Republican is favored.  The Virginia Senate race is headed to a recount with the incumbent Democrat Mark Warner clinging to a narrow lead,

In the House, it looks like the Republicans will have at least 248 seats.  The last time the GOP had a greater majority was after the 1928 elections.  At least a 15 seat gain for the Republicans.

In Governor races the GOP will have at least 31 including such icy blue enclaves as Massachusetts, Maryland and Illinois.  A three seat gain for the Republicans which considering the number of seats they were defending is phenomenal.

In legislative races the Republicans controlled 59 of 98 chambers going into the election.  They have added eight more including both chambers in West Virginia, the New York state senate, both chambers in Nevada and the state senate in Colorado. Continue Reading

29

Liveblog Election Night 2014

I will be liveblogging the election returns tonight beginning at 6:00 PM Central Standard Time.  Pre-election polls indicate this should be a good election for the Republicans, we shall see.  The main contest tonight will be in the Senate.  If the Republicans take it, President Obama might as well go on a vacation for the rest of his term as far as passing legislation is concerned.  Perhaps he will learn how to compromise and work with Republicans in order to craft legislation for the good of the nation.  (Ah, a little levity at the beginning of a live blog is always a good thing!)  As usual your contributions in the combox will be invaluable.  See you tonight! Continue Reading

15

Start Your Week Off With A Smile

 

In a final fundraising appeal Sunday, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi warned that the election could be a ‘catastrophe’ for Democrats facing major losses in both chambers of Congress.

In a last-ditch effort to raise funds for Democratic candidates heading into Tuesday’s election, the California congresswoman appealed to the purse strings of liberal voters. Quoting Politico, Mrs. Pelosi said that Republican candidates have raised “millions of dollars of TV advertising time” in districts Democrats easily held in the 2012 election.  

Mrs. Pelosi warns voters that the GOP is poised to have the greatest majority in the House since President Herbert Hoover was in the White House over 80 years ago. Continue Reading

5

Angels, Fools and Predictions

 

A week from now the midterm elections will occur, and, as usual, The American Catholic will be hosting live blog reports and analysis.  After my less than stellar predictions of 2012, I am somewhat reluctant to make a forecast, but never fearing to rush in where all sensible angels fear to tread, here are my predictions.

 

In the House, the Republicans will gain 15-20 seats.

In the Senate the Republicans will gain 7 seats and capture control of the Senate.

In Governorships there will be no net change.

In legislative seats held the Republicans will equal their net number high mark reached in 2010.

 

What are your predictions?

45

Devastating

In regard to the colored people, there is always more that is benevolent, I perceive, than just, manifested towards us. What I ask for the negro is not benevolence, not pity, not sympathy, but simply justice. The American people have always been anxious to know what they shall do with us… I have had but one answer from the beginning. Do nothing with us! Your doing with us has already played the mischief with us. Do nothing with us! If the apples will not remain on the tree of their own strength, if they are worm-eaten at the core, if they are early ripe and disposed to fall, let them fall! … And if the negro cannot stand on his own legs, let him fall also. All I ask is, give him a chance to stand on his own legs! Let him alone! If you see him on his way to school, let him alone, don’t disturb him! If you see him going to the dinner table at a hotel, let him go! If you see him going to the ballot box, let him alone, don’t disturb him! If you see him going into a work-shop, just let him alone, — your interference is doing him positive injury.

 

January 26, 1865-Frederick Douglass, abolitionist and Republican –

 

 

I have had my eye on State Senator Elbert Lee Guillory (R.La) for a while now.  Go here to read an earlier post.  Now he has unleashed a devastating ad against Senator Mary Landrieu (D.La).  Robert Tracinski at The Federalist explains why this could have national significance:

This ad immediately needs to be given massive funding and run in a continuous loop on Louisiana television for the next month.

Guillory himself is exactly the kind of spokesman the Republican Party needs to recruit on the national level. He will be running for lieutenant governor of Louisiana next year, which should give him a good platform.

The power of Guillory’s message comes from a combination of the quiet dignity of his manner (he has an air of old-fashioned Southern formality), his roots in a down-at-heels black community, and the clear failure of the big promises made to blacks on behalf of the welfare state.

That’s the key issue. Since the launch of the Great Society, Democrats have thrown money into the welfare state, specifically promising that this would lift blacks out of poverty. Fifty years later, it is hard to claim that this has achieved any of what it claimed it was supposed to do.

The results are particularly bad in the big cities. I noted recently that the reason Democrats think income inequality is such a winning political issue is because the districts they control have been turned into two-tier class societies divided between a small enclave of upper-middle-class whites and vast blighted areas where poor black and Hispanic people live. Megan McArdle notes a similar way in which New York City has stratified itself by chasing the middle class into the suburbs while providing subsidies that keep the poor in the city without really ameliorating their condition.

So the federal welfare state and Democratic management of the big cities has not helped poor blacks; it has merely herded them onto vast urban reservations where their function is to serve as reliable political clients of the Democratic Party.

I have described this as the Southern Strategy in Reverse:

From the 1970s to the 1990s, the Republican Party flipped the votes of Southern whites—but they neglected and comprehensively lost the black vote. Now Democrats are hoping to hold onto their death-grip on minority voters, and they are counting on this vote to rise—but they are pursuing this strategy at the expense of throwing away the white vote. I’m not sure that this quite captures the awfulness of the whole “coalition of the ascendant” strategy. Because it hitches the Democratic Party’s future to voting based on racial and ethnic loyalties, it is basically a strategy that consists of playing the race card from now until the end of time.

As despicable as this strategy is, it is also contains the seeds of its own destruction. The more dependent Democrats become on the racial vote, the more vulnerable they are if they lose any of it. Continue Reading

13

Political Shocker: Cantor loses

Dave Brat and Family

Well no one saw that coming.  David Brat, an economics professor at Randolph-Macon College, trounced Republican Majority leader Eric Cantor in the Republican primary last night.  Brat is a down the line pro-life conservative, go here to view his website.  There were two issues separating Cantor and Brat:  amnesty and a deep dissatisfaction with Republican leadership in Congress among the Republican leadership.  Brat was outspent twenty-five to one and in a high turnout primary he won:

Randolph-Macon College economics professor Dave Brat won the Republican primary in Virginia’s 7th Congressional District. Brat had 56 percent of the vote to Cantor’s 44 percent when the Associated Press called the race just after 8 p.m.  Continue Reading

19

Wave Coming

GOP wave

 

 

The fall elections are shaping up into what looks currently like a GOP wave election year:

 

 

A nationwide USA TODAY/Pew Research Center Poll shows the strongest tilt to Republican candidates at this point in a midterm year in at least two decades, including before partisan “waves” in 1994 and 2010 that swept the GOP into power. Though Election Day is  six months away — a lifetime in politics — at the moment, Democrats are saddled by angst over the economy, skepticism about the health care law and tepid approval of the president.

“People should start opening their eyes and seeing we’re not on track,” says Brenna Collins, 32, a small-business owner from Kasson, Minn., who was among those surveyed. “Not exactly saying Republicans are right but that things need to change.”

By more than 2-1, 65%-30%, Americans say they want the president elected in 2016 to pursue different policies and programs than the Obama administration, rather than similar ones.

In the 2014 elections, registered voters are inclined to support the Republican candidate over the Democrat in their congressional district by 47%-43%. That 4-percentage-point edge may seem small, but it’s notable because Democrats traditionally fare better among registered voters than they do among those who actually cast ballots, especially in low-turnout midterms. Continue Reading

9

Iowa, Please Send This Gal to the US Senate

43 years old, a Lieutenant Colonel in the Iowa National Guard and a State Senator, pro-life Joni Ernst certainly has a way of attracting attention!  I can think of many fat pigs in Washington that could benefit from her expertise!

Update:

Well, Joni Ernst’s likely opponent in November, assuming she wins the nomination, has decided to give her a big gift:

Congressman Bruce Braley was speaking before a group of ambulance chasers in Texas, begging for campaign donations.  Personal injury attorneys tend to be big donors to Democrats to stop tort reform.  So, to appeal to them he bad mouthed Senator Chuck Grassley as just an Iowa farmer who never set foot in law school.  Well, I have been a member of the bar for 32 years, and I can guarantee you that farmers are immeasurably more popular than attorneys, especially in a farm state like Iowa.  John Dickinson at the liberal Salon is calling this the gaffe of the year:

Why is this so awful? Let us count the ways. Iowa is a farm state, and it’s never a good idea to disparage one of the state’s chief occupations. Next, it’s particularly not a good idea to demean your state when you’re somewhere else: In this case, Braley was speaking in Texas. Next, Braley, a trial lawyer, was making his pitch to a room full of trial lawyers at a private fundraiser (which is why he didn’t think he was being recorded). Trial lawyers are perhaps the most unpopular constituency among Republican base voters—besides Obama administration officials. Since midterm elections are all about motivating your base, Braley has given his opponent a turnout gift. Next, look where Braley is standing: If you’re going to talk down to Iowa farmers, at least don’t do it next to a table of booze. It makes for amusing viewing and that reinforces the idea for voters that you’re not one of them. 

Thank you Congressman!  You have made it much more likely that when the Senate convenes next year it will have one less attorney and one more hog castrator!

 

 

28

A Jolly Win for the GOP

Pro-life GOP candidate David Jolly won a tight special election for Congress in Florida’s 13th District.  He succeeds Republican Bill Young, who died in office after 44 years in Congress. (Yet another poster boy for term limits.)  Although Young had no difficulty in his races, the district trended Democrat over the years, only voting once for a Republican for President since 1988.   Jolly was the former general counsel for Bill Young, becoming a lobbyist in 2007.  This was his first attempt at elective office and he ran a fairly colorless campaign, emphasizing repeal of ObamaCare.  The Democrats put up pro-abort Alex Sink who had run unsuccessfully for governor of Florida in 2010.  In that race she took the Congressional district.  The Democrats flooded in money for the race and were confident of victory, especially with a Libertarian candidate in the race also campaigning against ObamaCare and siphoning off votes from Jolly.  It didn’t play out as they anticipated.  Sean Sullivan at the Washington Post politics blog gives us the details:

 

Jolly’s win in a Gulf Coast district just west of Tampa illustrated the political toxicity of the law known as Obamacare. Jolly favored repealing and replacing the law, which was a central focus of the campaign, while his Democratic opponent did not. The law’s botched rollout has heightened Democrats’ anxiety eight months before the midterm elections. The Florida result is likely to raise their concerns.

With Jolly holding the seat for Republicans, Democrats must pick up 17 seats to win back the House majority in the fall, a task widely viewed as extremely difficult given historical trends, President Obama’s political woes and the limited pool of competitive seats up for grabs. Jolly will have to defend his seat in the fall.

As expected, the margin was close Tuesday. Jolly outpaced Democrat Alex Sink by about 3,400 votes out of 183,000. The Associated Press called the race for Jolly less than an hour after polls closed.

During the campaign, Republicans routinely ran ads tethering Sink to the health-care law, which she said should be preserved but fixed. Democrats hoped Jolly’s repeal/replace posture would alienate voters and doom his chances. His victory speaks volumes about how potent a weapon the law can be for Republicans this year.

A former lobbyist, Jolly will head to Congress to succeed his old boss, late-Rep. C.W. Bill Young. Young, a moderate known for steering federal dollars to the district, served for more than four decades and was practically political royalty there. He died last fall, opening the door for Democrats in a swing district that narrowly went for Obama in 2012.

Jolly ran as a natural successor to Young. But he struggled to raise money in the campaign, lagging behind Sink, who unlike him, did not have to endure a contested primary that drained resources. Sink, Jolly and their affiliated groups spent more than $12 million in the campaign, making it one of the most expensive House races ever. Continue Reading

22

Harry Reid: Liar

Washington is a town filled with liars, but even with all of that competition Senator Harry Reid (D.NV.) can be considered to be in a class all of his own when it comes to lies.  He lies constantly and with brazen effrontery because he realizes that with almost all of the mainstream media serving as unpaid press agents for the Democrat party, the chances of him being damaged by his mendacity will be remote.  Time, past time, to strip of his post as Senate Majority Leader by electing a GOP controlled Senate in the fall.