An early evening. Trump wins with a third of the vote, which appears to be his ceiling. Rubio and Cruz are battling for second place with each of them approximately at 20%. A good night for Rubio in that he gets back into the top three. A bad night for Cruz in that South Carolina was a state made for him to win, or at least be a close second. Kasich and Bush are each at nine percent and Carson is at 6%. Jeb Bush spent a huge amount of money in South Carolina. Back in 2000 his brother won soundly against McCain after McCain won in New Hampshire, putting Bush in front for the nomination. History did not repeat itself for the Bush family, South Carolina this time underlining that Jeb Bush has no chance for the nomination. Jeb hates Trump and I expect him to drop out and endorse Rubio. I expect that Carson will soon do the same.
On the Democrat side there are no results in South Carolina as the Democrats hold their primary next week. In the Nevada caucuses, Clinton squeaks by with 52% of the vote. The Republicans hold their caucus on February 23.
Bottom line: a good night for Trump, a bad night for Cruz and perhaps a great night for Rubio if both Bush and Carson swiftly drop out and endorse him. A meh night for Clinton as she remains locked in a tight battle with Sanders, and a good night for Sanders as he remains locked in a tight battle with Clinton.
Update: Well that didn’t take long. In his concession speech Jeb Bush just announced he is “suspending” his campaign.